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Opinion polls on Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections 2011

Loyola College survey
Dr S Rajanayagam, Director, ‘People Studies’, Loyola College Chennai who has conducted successful prediction in previous elections has found out that 2G spectrum scam has remained a non-issue when compared
to the local problems such as drinking water shortage, power crisis and price rise dominating this election. In contrast most of the opinion polls conducted by mainstream national media have put the 2G scam on top. That reflects on the methodology adopted by the surveying agencies.

Headlines today survey
Headlines today – ORG have projected their predictions based on 2009 Lok Sabha elections and opinion poll on the issues of corruption, administration, killing of Indian fishermen and price rise. According to this method ADMK alliance will get 50 per cent of the vote share winning 164 seats and DMK alliance will get 45 per cent winning 68 seats only. Their conclusion is that 2G spectrum is a major set back to DMK. This was published on 31’st March and the size of the sample for Tamil Nadu in their survey is not known. The survey covered 14,000 respondents in 121 constituencies across the four States.

Kumudam survey
The Kumudam reporter a Tamil biweekly magazine has assessed 48.60 % support for AIADMK alliance and 41.70 % support for DMK alliance. This survey has concluded that 57% people consider price rise as an important problem when compared to 15% for 2G spectrum issue. This appears to be right.

Puthiya thalaimurai survey
A relatively new magazine Puthiya thalaimurai has published a survey taken with AC Neiilson, This survey reveals 49% wishing to vote for AIADMK alliance and 46% for DMK alliance. But at the same time both Karunanithi and Jayalalithaa got 43% support to become Chief Minister. Another 4% were for Vijayakanth. The publishers have admitted that the survey was conducted before conclusion of alliances and the onset of campaign, therefore the percentages are subject to change. This survey was conducted among 5000 voters in the first week of March.